Showing posts with label Austrian School of Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Austrian School of Economics. Show all posts

Monday, June 13, 2011

Ludwig Von Mises & The Economic Calculation Problem


Those who followed the news in the 1980's recall the widespread shortages and misallocation of resources in the Soviet Union and other socialist states. But, few people understand the underlying causes of these failures. This is not just an academic discussion, but one that should hold great importance for anyone who follows contemporary political and economic debates. In 1920, with tremendous foresight, Ludwing Von Mises predicted and explained the fundamental economic problems that economic planners in socialist states would face. The Economic Calculation Problem  argued that even the most adept central planners could not rationally allocate goods, services, capital and labor, because at best they only commanded a small portion of necessary information. Paradoxically, the only successful means to rationally allocate resources was a free market price system. Prices serve as vital signals, driven by supply and demand, that provide essential information that allowed for millions of producers and consumers to coordinate their activities. Not only do shifting prices provide invaluable information of consumer needs, but also vital incentives to satisfy them. The same can be said of wages, which also are singals of relative supply and demand for different skills, in different localities. Planners that sought to mandate prices and wages from above always created shortages of most goods and surpluses of others. This is not to say that entrepreneurs and whole industries do not commit calculation errors, but unlike their government counterparts, these must rapidly respond to market corrections or face dire consequences.

Adherents to the Austrian School of Economics and a growing number of economics argue that the Economic Calculation Problem is increasingly seen with the Federal Reserve's efforts at economic planning and intervention.Specifically, arbitrarily mandating the rise and fall of the interest rate, rather than allowing the forces of supply and demand to do so, have contributed to irrational booms and busts and harmful misallocations of capital (i.e. the housing bubble). And those who propose that the government becomes more activate in mandating that health care and other services are "affordable," should also take heed, because this too is an example of central planning and price control.

Sunday, February 20, 2011

Joseph Schumpeter: Austria's Greatest Economist, Horseman & Lover?


While the majority of European and American intellectuals spent inordinate amounts of ink and energy attacking capitalism, the great Austrian Economist, Joseph Schumpeter was one of its earliest and most articulate defenders. He predicted that the success of capitalism would spawn and fund a large class of intellectuals who were hostile to free enterprise, private property and entrepreneurship. My university experience inclines me to agree with him; the majority of my professors were hostile or indifferent to capitalism, even though their generous salaries were only possible through the success and strength of entrepreneurs and "evil corporations."

Mr. Schumpeter also possessed a good sense of humor. "He claimed that he had put forth three goals in life: to be the greatest economist in the world, to be the best horseman in all of Austria and the greatest lover in all of Vienna. He said he had reached two of his goals, but he never said which two.[3][4] Although, he is reported to have said that there were too many fine horseman in Austria for him to succeed in all his aspirations!"

Enclosed is a brief but interesting article on Mr. Schumpeter:

"Can capitalism survive? No. I do not think it can." Thus opens Schumpeter's prologue to a section of his 1942 book, Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. One might think, on the basis of the quote, that Schumpeter was a Marxist. But the analysis that led Schumpeter to his conclusion differed totally from Karl Marx's. Marx believed that capitalism would be destroyed by its enemies (the proletariat), whom capitalism had purportedly exploited. Marx relished the prospect. Schumpeter believed that capitalism would be destroyed by its successes. Capitalism would spawn, he believed, a large intellectual class that made its living by attacking the very bourgeois system of private property and freedom so necessary for the intellectual class's existence. And unlike Marx, Schumpeter did not relish the destruction of capitalism. He wrote: "If a doctor predicts that his patient will die presently, this does not mean that he desires it."

Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy was much more than a prognosis of capitalism's future. It was also a sparkling defense of capitalism on the grounds that capitalism sparked entrepreneurship. Indeed, Schumpeter was among the first to lay out a clear concept of entrepreneurship. He distinguished inventions from the entrepreneur's innovations. Schumpeter pointed out that entrepreneurs innovate, not just by figuring out how to use inventions, but also by introducing new means of production, new products, and new forms of organization. These innovations, he argued, take just as much skill and daring as does the process of invention.

Innovation by the entrepreneur, argued Schumpeter, led to gales of "creative destruction" as innovations caused old inventories, ideas, technologies, skills, and equipment to become obsolete. The question, as Schumpeter saw it, was not "how capitalism administers existing structures,... [but] how it creates and destroys them." This creative destruction, he believed, caused continuous progress and improved standards of living for everyone.

Schumpeter argued with the prevailing view that "perfect" competition was the way to maximize economic well-being. Under perfect competition all firms in an industry produced the same good, sold it for the same price, and had access to the same technology. Schumpeter saw this kind of competition as relatively unimportant. He wrote: "[What counts is] competition from the new commodity, the new technology, the new source of supply, the new type of organization... competition which... strikes not at the margins of the profits and the outputs of the existing firms but at their foundations and their very lives."

Schumpeter argued on this basis that some degree of monopoly was preferable to perfect competition. Competition from innovations, he argued, was an "ever-present threat" that "disciplines before it attacks." He cited the Aluminum Company of America as an example of a monopoly that continuously innovated in order to retain its monopoly. By 1929, he noted, the price of its product, adjusted for inflation, had fallen to only 8.8 percent of its level in 1890, and its output had risen from 30 metric tons to 103,400.

Schumpeter never made completely clear whether he believed innovation was sparked by monopoly per se or, rather, by the prospect of getting a monopoly as the reward for innovation. Most economists accept the latter argument and, on that basis, believe that companies should be able to keep their production processes secret, have their trademarks protected from infringement, and obtain patents.

Schumpeter was also a giant in the history of economic thought. His magnum opus in the area was History of Economic Analysis, edited by his third wife, Elizabeth Boody, and published posthumously in 1954. In it Schumpeter made some controversial comparisons between economists, arguing that Adam Smith was unoriginal, that Alfred Marshall was confused, and that Leon Walras was the greatest economist of all time.

Born in Austria to parents who owned a textile factory, Schumpeter was very familiar with business when he entered the University of Vienna to study economics and law. He was one of the more promising students of Friedrich von Wieser and Eugen von Böhm-Bawerk, publishing at the age of twenty-eight his famous Theory of Economic Development. In 1911 Schumpeter took a professorship in economics at the University of Graz. He served as minister of finance in 1919. With the rise of Hitler, Schumpeter left Europe and the University of Bonn, where he was a professor from 1925 until 1932, and emigrated to the United States. In that same year he accepted a permanent position at Harvard, where he remained until his retirement in 1949. Schumpeter was president of the American Economic Association in 1948

http://www.crawfordsworld.com/rob/apmacro/schumpeter.htm

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Schumpeter

Monday, January 31, 2011

Debate an Austrian, Feed the Hungry?


It will be very interesting to see if Paul Krugman accepts Robert Murphy's challenge to debate him for 1 hour on the merits of Austrian vs Keynesian economics. If he accepts, funds ($60,000 and rising) pledged by the public will be donated to a food bank in NYC, if not the credit cards of the donors will not be charged. As of yet, he has not accepted this offer, which leads me to believe that he may not be as concerned about the poor and downtrodden as his rhetoric would lead us to believe. FYI, you can make the conditional pledge by going to: http://www.krugmandebate.com/

Welcome to KrugmanDebate.com, your headquarters for the Murphy-Krugman Debate! Robert Murphy has a PhD in economics from New York University. He is a firm believer in the Austrian theory of the business cycle, which blames the boom-bust cycle on the Federal Reserve, not the free market. In contrast, Paul Krugman--Nobel laureate in economics, and writer for the New York Times—is a Keynesian economist who thinks the Fed and the government can jumpstart the economy out of recession by printing more money and increasing the deficit.

Murphy has challenged Krugman to a public debate on Austrian vs. Keynesian business cycle theory. He has set up a campaign, which currently has raised $60,000 in pledges. If Krugman actually debates Murphy, then the money goes to a food bank in New York City. If Krugman never debates, no one's credit card is ever charged; people are only going to be charged for their pledge, when Krugman actually debates.

Click on the links to learn more, or to make your pledge.

http://krugmandebate.com/

Sunday, January 30, 2011

The Austrian School of Economics


Pictured Above: The Great Ludwig Von Mises

I am not a strict adherent to the Austrian School of Economics and Ludwig Von Mises, because I recognize that their methodology poses some problems, however their explanation of the business cycle does seems to fit our current situation. As with any school of thought, it's worth exploring and integrating the more sound theoretical elements into your worldview and rejecting that which does not stand up to the tests of observation, experience and analysis.

Austrian economists focus on the amplifying, "wave-like" effects of the credit cycle as the primary cause of most business cycles. Austrian economists assert that inherently damaging and ineffective central bank policies are the predominant cause of most business cycles, as they tend to set "artificial" interest rates too low for too long, resulting in excessive credit creation, speculative "bubbles" and "artificially" low savings.[35]

According to the Austrian business cycle theory, the business cycle unfolds in the following way. Low interest rates tend to stimulate borrowing from the banking system. This expansion of credit causes an expansion of the supply of money, through the money creation process in a fractional reserve banking system. This in turn leads to an unsustainable "monetary boom" during which the "artificially stimulated" borrowing seeks out diminishing investment opportunities. This boom results in widespread malinvestments, causing capital resources to be misallocated into areas which would not attract investment if the money supply remained stable.

Austrian economists argue that a correction or "credit crunch" – commonly called a "recession" or "bust" – occurs when credit creation cannot be sustained. They claim that the money supply suddenly and sharply contracts when markets finally "clear", causing resources to be reallocated back towards more efficient uses.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwig_Von_Mises